Shades111

any golf punters about ?

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Blanked last week, some decent results but couldn't match em up. Euro tour is back on a tight little course by the looks of it. I had Pavan to win here last year but he's far too short this time around.

EW Trebles 

B. Snedeker 66/1, Simpson 25/1 (BMW) WITH   J. Teater 50/1 ,  J. Harding 50/1 (KF)  WITH  A. Arnaus 66/1,  G. Green 33/1(CM)

E. Van Rooyen 18/1, L. Slattery 50/1 (CM)  WITH  S. Stefani 35/1,  DJ Trahan 100/1 (KF)  WITH  W. Austin 22/1, T.Petrovic 66/1 (CT)

J. Kingston 12/1 (SS)   WITH  T. Lewis  28/1 (CM)   WITH  C. Davis 50/1 (KF) 

G. Orr 22/1 (SS)  WITH  J. Suri 33/1 (CM)  WITH  T. Finau 40/1(BMW)

 

Top 10 Trebles  

B. Horschel 9/2,  A. Arnaus 11/2  and  J. Teater 5/1

T. Finau 7/2,  L. Slattery 11/2  and  J. Harding 11/2

B. An 13/2, A. Rai 9/2  and  J. Wagner 8/1

G. Green 4/1,   J. Kokrak  6/1,  R. Diaz 7/1

B.Snedeker 11/2,  A. Pavan 5/2,  A. Lahiri 7/1

P. Waring 15/2,  C. Davis 9/2 ,  W. Simpson 11/4

E. Molinari  13/2,  S. Stefani 7/2,  I. Poulter 6/1

JC Ritchie 7/1,  J. Kokrak 6/1,  Stefani 7/2

 

Top 10 Doubles

H. Varner III  10/1,   SW Kim 14/1(BMW)  WITH   M. Southgate 10/1 (CM),   DJ Trahan 12/1(KF)

K. Bradley 12/1,   JT Poston 12/1(BMW)   With   L. Slattery 11/2(CM),  D. Bozzelli 12/1 (KF)

J. Kokrak 6/1,  C. Conners 12/1 (BMW)  WITH  C. Shinkwin 11/1,  E. Molinari 13/2 (CM) 

 

TOP 20 Doubles

R.Palmer 8/1 or K. Bradley 11/2 (BMW)  WITH   B. Henson 11/1, B. Easton 17/2, T. Bjorn 14/1

SAVERS

B. Koepka 8/1 or J. Rose 18/1(BMW)  with  V. Hovland 11/1 (KF)  or  E. Pepperell 14/1(CM)

J. Rahm 12/1 or  B. Weisberger 14/1  with C. Sharvin 16/1 (ISPS) V. Hovland 11/1 (KF)  or  B. Langer 10/1(CT) 

 

A little over £20 spent this week, I may still have a late ew bet on Berry Henson at 350/1 ew?? not 100% on these, cos i made notes and done the bets at 3am.

 

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all those runners last week and we had little fun  , but we try try try again , sticking with the top10 system for now , added a few randoms , laid out £65 ,  lets go !!

Top10 doubles and returns

matsuyama - alexander 74

gibson - niemann 140

stegmair - woods 116

anderson - bradley 143

mcnealy - conners 130

fritelli - silverman 130

zhang - im 102

jaeger - morikawa 93

shelton - schauffle 76

svensson - im 128

murray - niemann 104

harding - bradley 99

zhang - ancer 89

connelly - champ 433

fritelli - bland 282

conners - gouveia 204

morikawa - kawamura 90

SJ Kim - im 120

dantorp - woods 115

canizares  niemann 96

hordfield - gibson 80

levy - jaeger 72

forest - ancer 112

coutzee - murray 78

harding - arnaus - schauffle 135

matsuyama - forest - shelton 306

zhang - morikawa - coutzee 280

hovland top10 - arnaus top20 - ancer top20 154

£1.50 EW connelly 400/1

£1 EW bland 400/1

betfair win exchange

schauffle 188

im 417

niemann 567

arnaus 301

 

 

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I'm going for Matsuyama and Schauffle, about a fiver on both each way, as matsuyama seems to be hitting a little bit more form of late, and Xander is just too good not to have a decent tournament soon (so a bit of potluck I guess!) 

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28 minutes ago, Luke_B_123 said:

I'm going for Matsuyama and Schauffle, about a fiver on both each way, as matsuyama seems to be hitting a little bit more form of late, and Xander is just too good not to have a decent tournament soon (so a bit of potluck I guess!) 

both been a little quiet of late , wont stay like that , they are both getting to be decent price now as well .

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I have just done two small each ways on Spieth at 25/1 and Schauffele at 28/1  (seven places 1/5)   for this week.    

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12 minutes ago, philinvicta said:

I have just done two small each ways on Spieth at 25/1 and Schauffele at 28/1  (seven places 1/5)   for this week.    

lot of love for the x-man this week. when speith's driving improves he will be a force once again,as to whether its this week is another matter. But there are some good players who's odds are getting juicy. eg Day, Hideki, Slow Mo Dechambo.... one will come in soon.

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Hideki was 80/1 this morning, currently down about 20/1 haven't seen any golf today tho, and I'm on an away day all dayer tommorow =(

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2 hours ago, Luke_B_123 said:

Hideki was 80/1 this morning, currently down about 20/1 haven't seen any golf today tho, and I'm on an away day all dayer tommorow =(

Ended up shooting a 63   to be leading on 12 under   5/1 now

Edited by philinvicta

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great round from the next spanish sensation , he will be off in the final group tomorrow and im feeling pretty confident , come on !!

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all about one man today , the same guy i have spoken pretty highly of a few times here on the forum Adri Arnaus , he could make his breakthrough win today , he is one of the new kid's on the block from the Euro side , he's already had two runner-up places in his short Pro career and today we hope it's third time lucky , he was a very well backed player for this tournament , i see @Crunchienut managed to get 66/1 in his early bets , sadly for me all that had been hammered by the time i got on but he would net me £300 for my little single that would be pretty handy around now .

my big block of eachway doubles look doomed unless i get a couple of miracle rounds , but incredibly i still have two chances out of the four eachway trebles i placed .

Arnaus top10 - schauffle top 10 - harding top10 for £135

hovland top10 - arnaus top20 - ancer top20 for £154

so im sitting on 3 decent bets but could quite easily walk away with nothing , lets hope the latter does not happen .

for anyone that wants to get on the Arnaus Express with me its not too late , you can still get 4/1 with skybet , go get it , i think he might just close this one out !!

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went through my bets late last night see what was still 'live' and what I actually did bet on with last minute whims at stupid o'clock...... slim pickings is the result, but all doom n gloom. The KornFed picks have let me down, as has the decision to do Rose over Justin Thomas,.... think he would have been a wasted winner anyways. I jotted down Jack S. Brar at 150's and Kawamura at 125's but didn't have a bash, likewise Joel Dahmen at the same price, no real hard luck stories otherwise....thought I'd done Wyndham Clark in a bet but can't find it, think I may have done Ryan Palmer top 20 instead as they were the same price

Snedeker (T6)  66/1,  J. Harding (T15) 50/1 and Arnaus (T2) 66/1  ew treble

Finau 7/2,  L. Slattery 11/2, J. Harding 11/2   top 10 treble

R. Palmer 8/1, B. Henson 11/1  top 20 double

C. Conners 12/1,  E. Molinari 13/2  top 10 double

Good luck

 

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gonna need some spanish magic on this back9 to have any chance  , played poorly so far and let pieters get away , not looking good ?

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2 hours ago, Shades111 said:

gonna need some spanish magic on this back9 to have any chance  , played poorly so far and let pieters get away , not looking good ?

He got the birdies  too late  and when it was really all over ,   unlucky

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1 hour ago, philinvicta said:

He got the birdies  too late  and when it was really all over ,   unlucky

"unlucky" is my middle name ?

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2 hours ago, Shades111 said:

"unlucky" is my middle name ?

Harding started well 3 under for his round after 7.... then fucks up. My ew treble was looking good for about 5 holes.

Unlucky Shades

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Hideki through it away on day 3 =(

Day 2 he hit 9 under, and day 4 he hit 9 under. Day 3 I think was 1 over? Only needed an 7/8 under combined on days 1 and 3 to win. 

Made a little more than stake back so meh. What is annoying is I backed Thomas like a week or 2 ago, has a bad comp, then goes and wins the comp after when I'm not on. 25 under in 4 rounds is pretty awesome golfing. 

Scott finishes 1 off the money, Rahm (who's getting worryingly consistent) a comfy tied 5th and Cantlay 2nd.

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One shot off a £430 ew treble last week, but Pavan came from no where ( he was off my results page) to secure me a top 10 treble for £70, so things could have been worse.

Mostly avoiding the tour champs this week, but I got 2 or 3 fancies who are in for interest purposes only....

EW CROSS TREBLES

S. Vincent 35/1(JAP), C. Sharvin 22/1(R)  WITH  C. Bezhudenhuit 40/1, R. MacIntyre 35/1 (SM) WITH  J. Harding 40/1, R. Streb 50/1 (Boise)

H. Matsuyama 20/1, B. Snedeker 45/1 (TC)  WITH  A. Pavan 20/1, R. Langasque 45/1 (SM)   WITH  D. Huizing 22/1 (R), C. Davis 66/1(Boise)

 

EW TREBLES

S. Vincent  35/1,  J. Harding 40/1,  C. Sharvin 22/1 (Rolex)

R. MacIntyre 35/1,  P. Cantlay  12/1,  A. Rozner 22/1 (Rolex)

M. Kinhult  55/1,  R. Streb 50/1,  R. Santos 28/1 (rolex)

JG Hwang  28/1 (Jap),  C. Sharvin 22/1 (rolex),  V. Hovland 11/1

C. Bezhuidenhuit 40/1, R. Santos 28/1 (rolex),  H. Matsuyama 20/1

A. Pavan 20/1,  D. Huizing 22/1 (rolex), J. Harding 40/1

 

EW CROSS DOUBLES

M. Kawamura 125/1 or  A. Bjork 70/1 (SM)  WITH  DJ Trahan 100/1 or R. Brehm 66/1 (Boise)

M. Kinhult 55/1 or  M.Southgate  (SM)  100/1   WITH  J. Teater 70/1 or  C. Davis 66/1 (Boise)

 

EW Doubles

P. Waring 60/1 (SM)  with   B. Easton 40/1 (rolex)

M. Kawamura (SM)  with  C. Pigem 110/1 (rolex)

J. Smith 40/1 (SM)   with   DJ Trahan 100/1 (Boise)

Tanihara 250/1 (SM)  with  R. Brehm 66/1 (Boise)

S. Crocker 100/1 (SM)  with R. Streb 50/1 (Boise)

C. Davis 66/1 (Boise) with  C. Bezhuidenhuit  35/1 (SM)

 

SAVERS

V. Hovland 11/1,  H. Matsuyama 20/1, R. McIlroy 8/1   with  M. Fitzpatrick 10/1 or A. Pavan 20/1

 

£19 in this week....Good Luck

 

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laid out £60 this week , my list has shortened up a bit , not gone for so many outsiders as normal , bunch of mixed bets .

top 10/5 doubles and trebles and returns

glover  nordqvist - arnaus 232

coutzee - murray - ancer 175

kisner - mcintyre = pressel 247

A.Park - fowler -  svensson 274

zhang - casey - lexi 176

jaeger - im 130

conners - anderson 127

ghim - schauffle (top5) 99

leishman = arnaus - lee6 97

nordqvist - johnson (top5) - hovland 245

£4 win van driel 20/1

£3 win zhang 80/1

£6 win arnaus 45/1

£2 win coutzee 80/1

£3 win lingmerth 90/1

£4 eachway nordqvist 75/1

£1 eachway kirk 300/1

tour champs (strokeplay odds)

£3 win ancer 66/1

£2 win conners 70/1

£3 win Im 66/1

good luck all !!

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I done my bets quite early this week and hardly any top 10 markets available, and didn't do them.....should have kept some money back really. I got over excited that some firms were paying 6 places in the Rolex event despite the limited field.

Not the best of starts this week, but a ways to go yet. Good Luck @Shades111

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huge percentage of bets looked doomed , but do have a cheeky £4 on darius van driel in the challenge tour event at 20/1 , hes heading into the back9 of the last round with a slender 1 shot lead , go go go , i need this £84 for reloads !!!

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16 minutes ago, philinvicta said:

Some run Van Driel went on from  the 7th to the 14th    at 8 under for the 8 holes 

he aint home yet , only 1 uP now playing the last . PAR PLEASE !!!

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19 minutes ago, Shades111 said:

he aint home yet , only 1 uP now playing the last . PAR PLEASE !!!

Should be the winner now

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