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Everything posted by Douvan
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Can you please put me down as all faves. I’ve got a golf match. Just about to tee off.
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Congrats mate. I think you’ve beat me already. Especially if NR goes to faves. Well done.
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7 Was it Lizzie on Coo Star Sivola? 9 Big Willie Style? 10 Uxizandre? Shut The Front Door (I think thats wrong, I think that was his last ride)
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13.30 - Stage Star - £10 Each Way 14.10 - Ahoy Senor - £10 Each Way 14.50 - Camprond - £10 Win 15.30 - Put The Kettle On - £5 Each Way 16.10 - Diesel D'Allier - £10 Each Way 16.50 - Gumball - £5 Each Way 17.30 - Houlanbatordechais - £5 Each Way Good luck @howfin mate.
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2 Ruby? 3 Was it Dickie Johnson? 6 Sprinter Sacre?
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This is what I have so far. I'm gonna start the trends stuff soon, should be a couple of hours. Cheltenham Festival – Day Two Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle Avert your eyes if you are a Stage Star supporter. He won the Challow Hurdle last time but the record of winners in that race stands at zero from 18, with Bravemansgame being the latest to come up short last year. The last Challow winner to win at the Festival in the same season was Wichita Lineman, who went on to win the Albert Bartlett in 2007. Sir Gerhard (Stays the distance based on point form, prominent position would help) Pro Picks Matt Chapman – Minella Coccoona Kevin Blake – Ginto Jamie Codd – Ginto Stephen Harris – Ginto Sam (NextGen Racing) – Journey With Me Jack (NextGen Racing) – Ginto Mattie Bachelor – Dysart Dynamo Niall Houlihan – Journey With Me David Jennings – Sir Gerhard Fat Baz – Sir Gerhard/Dysart Dynamo Tony Keenan – Sir Gerhard/Three Stripe Life Pat Cooney – Sir Gerhard Gavin Lynch – Three Stripe Life (EW) Gary O’Brien – Sir Gerhard Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase Bravemansgame and Galopin Des Champs are unbeaten over fences and dominate the ante-post betting, although the latter seems likely to run in the Turners on Thursday. But flawless records over fences are often punctured in this race. This century, there have been only three winners who boasted a 100 per cent record over fences after victory in the race – Denman, Don Poli and Monkfish. The last-named made his backers sweat before landing cramped odds 12 months ago. Bravemansgame (Needs a flat track and isn’t very good at uphill finish) Ahoy Senor (Has had practice jumping over downhill fences) Pro Picks Jamie Codd – Bravemansgame / Vanillier Matt Chapman – Bravemansgame / Fury Road Kevin Blake – Bravemansgame Sam (NextGen Racing) – Busselton (EW) Jack (NextGen Racing) – Ahoy Senor Mattie Bachelor – Bravemansgame Niall Houlihan – Bravemansgame Paul Kealy – L’Homme Presse Tom Seagal – L’Homme Presse David Jennings – Ahoy Senor Ruby Walsh – Capodanno Tony Mullins – Bravemansgame Lydia Hislop – Gaillard Du Mesnil Fat Baz – Ahoy Senor Tony Keenan – Beacon Edge Pat Cooney – Ahoy Senor Gavin Lynch – L’Homme Presse Gary O’Brien – L’Homme Presse/Capodanno Coral Cup Handicap Hurdle Only four winners since 2000 had run more than nine times over hurdles and one of those, William Henry, had only ten to his name before victory in 2019. Heaven Help Us kept up the trend last year when winning on her eighth start over hurdles at 33-1. The evidence is clear: look for lightly raced and second-season hurdlers. Pro Picks Kevin Blake – Drop The Anchor Jamie Codd – Good Time Johnny Matt Chapman – Gowel Road Mattie Bachelor – Good Risk At All David Jennings – Camprond Paul Kealy – Camprond Tom Seagal – Drop The Anchor/Camprond Ruby Walsh – Saint Felician Frank Hickey – I Am Maximus/Indigo Breeze Fat Baz – I Am Maximus Pat Cooney – Unexpected Party Gavin Lynch – Saint Felician Gary O’Brien – Good Risk At All Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase In the past 30 years, ten winners had landed the Arkle Chase 12 months earlier. Only one horse older than 10 (Moscow Flyer) has won since 1978; just two of the past 23 winners failed to win last time out; and only two victors in the past three decades have not run in that calendar year. And since 1975, only Moscow Flyer and Sprinter Sacre have regained their crown. Energumene (Shorter run from 2 out and is 188 yard shorter which might help) Pro Picks Danny Mullins – Chacun Por Soi Stephen Harris – Shishkin Matt Chapman – Shishkin Kevin Blake – Shishkin Jamie Codd – Shishkin Sam (NextGen Racing) – Nube Negra (EW) Jack (NextGen Racing) – Nuba Negra (EW) Mattie Bachelor – Shishkin Niall Houlihan – Funambule Sivola (EW) Paul Kealy – Shishkin Tom Seagal – Shishkin David Jennings – Chacun Por Soi Ruby Walsh – Shishkin Tony Mullins – Shishkin Lydia Hislop – Nube Negra Fat Baz – Chacun Por Soi Tony Keenan – Shishkin Pat Cooney – Energumene Gavin Lynch – Shishkin Gary O’Brien – Shishkin Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase No fewer than 14 of the 17 winners had run at the track earlier in the season – and only three winners had no previous experience of the track. Tiger Roll, the favourite, has not run at Cheltenham this season, but the three-time winner of the race did have a spin at the track recently. Pro Picks Sam (NextGen Racing) – Tiger Roll Jack (NextGen Racing) – Plan of Attack (EW) Mattie Bachelor – Diesel Dallier (EW) Niall Houlihan – Diesel Dallier (EW) David Jennings – Tiger Roll Ruby Walsh – Tiger Roll Frank Hickey – Shady Operator Tony Mullins – Tiger Roll Fat Baz – Tiger Roll Pat Cooney – Tiger Roll Gavin Lynch – Tiger Roll Gary O’Brien – Tiger Roll Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Challenge Cup Handicap Chase Nine of the past 11 winners have had an official rating of between 138 and 147. When the weights are released on Tuesday, that group should probably be the first you focus on. Buddy Rich and Ciel De Neige are the ante-post favourites. The former can be expected to be in the 138-147 band, but the latter will be higher. In addition, older horses tend to struggle with only two winners since 1998 being ten or older. Pro Picks David Jennings – Thyme White Paul Kealy – Frero Banbou Tom Seagal – Amarillo Sky Frank Hickey – Embittered Lydia Hislop – Coueur Sublime Pat Cooney – Amarillo Sky Gavin Lynch – Buddy Rich Gary O’Brien – Andy DuFresne Weatherbys Champion Bumper Willie Mullins has had the Weatherbys Champion Bumper winner 11 times since it was first run in 1992 – plus plenty of near-misses. However, punters looking to cash in on his dominance should note the market often gets his runners wrong. None of his past six winners of the race have been his apparent “first string” with the sequence being extended last year when Sir Gerhard beat the odds-on Kilcruit. Before that, his previous five winners have been returned at 12-1 (Cousin Vinny), 16-1 (Champagne Fever), 25-1 (Briar Hill), 25-1 (Relegate) and 11-1 (Ferny Hollow). The shortest-priced Mullins runners in those races finished sixth, third eighth, fifth and second. So rather than just tick off his hot favourite, Facile Vega, make sure you carefully consider what else he runs. Pro Picks Jamie Codd – American Mike Matt Chapman – Top Dog Kevin Blake – American Mike Sam (NextGen Racing) – American Mike Jack (NextGen Racing) – Redemption Day Mattie Bachelor – American Mike Niall Houlihan – Mullenbeg (EW) Ruby Walsh – Facile Vega Frank Hickey – Redemption Day Tony Mullins – Facile Vega Fat Baz – American Mike Tony Keenan – American Mike Gavin Lynch – American Mike Gary O’Brien – Facile Vega
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Day Two.docx Extra Notes.docx
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Cheltenham Day 2 – Trends Ballymore 10 out of the last 10 winners have been aged 5 or 6. All except Sir Gerhard, aged 7. 10 out of the last 10 winners have won over at least 2miles 4 furlongs. All except Haxo and Three Stripe Life. 9 out of the last 10 winners have won at least 50% of their hurdle runs. Stage Star, Sir Gerhard, Whatdeawant, Journey With Me. 9 out of the last 10 winners have finished 1st or 2nd in all hurdle runs. All except I Am Maximus and Whatdeawant. 9 out of the last 10 winners have had at least 3 runs over hurdles. Stage Star, Three Stripe Life, I Am Maximus. 8 out of the last 10 winners have won a graded hurdle. Stage Star, Sir Gerhard. Brown Advisory 10 out of the last 10 winners have raced in a graded chase. All except Dusart. 9 out of the last 10 winners have had a top 3 finish last time out. All except Fury Road and Capodanno. 9 out of the last 10 winners have ran at least 3 times over fences. All except Dusart and Ahoy Senor. 9 out of the last 10 winners have been aged 7 or 8. All except Gaillard Du Mesnil and Capodanno, both aged 6. Coral Cup 9 out of the last 10 winners have not run for the previous 32 days at least. All except Christopher Wood, Daly Tiger, Ashdale Bob, Grand Roi, Commander of Fleet. 8 out of the last 10 winners have no more than 4 runs this season. All except Commander of Fleet and Ashdale Bob. 8 out of the last 10 winners have won between 2 miles 2 furlongs and 2 miles 6 furlongs. All except Call Me Lord, Christopher Wood, Hang in There, Grand Roi, Ganapathi, Champagne Gold, Commander of Fleet, Indigo Breeze, Drop the Anchor, Fast Or Slow. 7 out of the last 10 winners have carried at least 10st 12lb. All except Top Moon, Ask Dillon, Mars Harper, Maze Runner, Fair Frontieres, Champagne Gold, Tronador. 7 out of the last 10 winners have won a race earlier in the season. Dans Le Vent, Unexpected Party, Saint Felicien, Daly Tiger, Indigo Breeze, Commander of Fleet, Fair Frontieres. Champion Chase 10 out of the last 10 winners have won over at least 2 miles 1 furlongs. All except Nube Negra. 10 out of the last 10 winners have had at least 7 runs over fences. All except Energumene. 9 out of the last 10 winners have been a Grade 1 chase winner. All except Nube Negra and Funambule Sivola. 8 out of the last 10 winners have been no older than 9. All except Chacun Por Soi and Politologue. 6 out of the last 10 winners have won a graded chase last time out. Shishkin, Chacun Por Soi, Funambule Sivola, Envoi Allen. Cross Country Chase 10 out of the last 10 winners have won over at least 3 miles. All except Mitchouka. 7 out of the last 10 winners have finished in the top 5 in their last completed start. Diesel D’Allier, Plan of Attack, Back on the Lash, Step Back, Shady Operator, Midnight Maestro, Tout Est Permis. Grand Annual 10 out of the last 10 winners have won over distance. All except Buddy Rich. 9 out of the last 10 winners have been aged 9 and under. All except Global Citizen and Destined to Shine. 9 out of the last 10 winners have carried no more than 11st 6lb. All except Sky Pirate, Editeur De Gite, Andy Dufresne. 7 out of the last 10 winners have had a run at a previous festival. Embittered, Sky Pirate, Gumball, Global Citizen, Thyme White, For Pleasure, Capuccimix, A Wave of the Sea, Dancing on my Own. 7 out of the last 10 winners have had no more than 4 runs since August. Gumball, Before Midnight, Editeur De Gite, Elixir De Nutz, Thyme White, Andy Dufresne, A Wave of the Sea, Destined to Shine, Il Ridoto, Dancing on my Own, Capuccimix. Champion Bumper 10 out of the last 10 winners have won last time out. All except Cillians Charm, Ocean of Mercy, Rosy Redrum, Authorised Speed, Godot, Esperti. 10 out of the last 10 winners have been aged 5 or 6. All except Poetic Music, Rosy Redrum. 9 out of the last 10 winners have won a bumper worth at least £4000. All except Ocean of Mercy, Authorised Speed, Rosy Redrum, Spanish Present, Aint No Sunshine, Call Me Harry, Godot, Cillians Charm.
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Ok mate thanks. I'll bare that in mind. Gets a little confusing with all the bookies paying different paces. Appreciate your efforts mate.
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Great opening day from all the stuff i posted. £50 deposited, £465 withdrawn. +£415 so far. Let's go day 2....
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@1pstaker - I should have perhaps asked this before the start but how many places are we playing for 3 places in each race or is there a bookies you base it on?
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1.30 - Dysart Dynamo £20 win. 2.10 - Blue Lord - £5 each way. 2.50 - Corach Rambler - £5 each way. 3.30 - Epatante - £5 each way. 4.10 - Echoes in Rain - £5 each way. 4.50 - HMS Seahorse - £10 each way. 5.30 - Stattler - £20 win. Edited, thanks @david1111
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1.30 - Dysart Dynamo £20 win. 2.10 - Blue Lord - £10 each way. 2.50 - Corach Rambler - £5 each way. 3.30 - Epatante - £5 each way. 4.10 - Echoes in Rain - £5 each way. 4.50 - HMS Seahorse - £10 each way. 5.30 - Stattler - £20 win. Good luck everyone.
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As per usual, i've spent weeks collating notes, reading trends and adjusting, watching countless hours of races and preview nights and here is what I have. This post will be everything from the preview nights and the 2nd will be all the trends and the horses that fit the trends (too me a fucking age that bit). SkyBet Novices Supreme Novices’ Hurdle Six of the past nine winners have had an official rating of 153 or higher. They have been Vautour (155), Douvan (155), Altior (155), Klassical Dream (154), Shishkin (153) and, last year, Appreciate It (153). Pro Picks Jamie Codd – Mighty Potter (Grade 1 winner) Matt Chapman – Constitution Hill Kevin Blake – Mighty Potter (Grade 1 winner) Danny Mullins – Jonbon Stephen Harris – Jonbon/Constitution Hill Mattie Bachelor – Constitution Hill Niall Houlihan – Jonbon David Mullins – Jonbon Mikey Fogarty – Dysart Dynamo (Speed gurus say he’s best) Tom Seagal – Constitution Hill David Jennings – Constitution Hill Ruby Walsh – Jonbon Fat Baz – Constitution Hill/Three Stripe Life (EW) Tony Keenan – Dysart Dynamo (Speed gurus say he’s best) Pat Cooney – Dysart Dynamo (Speed gurus say he’s best) Gavin Lynch – Dysart Dynamo (Speed gurus say he’s best) Gary O’Brien – Mighty Potter (Grade 1 winner) Sporting Life Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices’ Chase Between 1998 and 2006, four renewals were won by five-year-olds. However, since the 5lb age allowance was scrubbed 13 years ago, they are 0/13 in the race, albeit Fakir D’Oudairies went close two years ago. Allmankind was well-fancied 12 months ago but finished fourth of the five runners. Edwardstone (Stats say 8 year old win Arkle) Pro Picks Kevin Blake – Edwardstone Matt Chapman – Edwardstone Jamie Codd – Couer Sublime Danny Mullins – Couer Sublime Vincent Finnegan – Riviere D’etel Stephen Harris – Riviere D’etel Sam (NextGen Racing) – Magic Daze (EW) Jack (NextGen Racing) – Saint Sam (EW) Mattie Bachelor – Edwardstone Niall Houlihan – Riviere D’etel Paul Kealy – Edwardstone Tom Seagal – Magic Daze David Jennings – Edwardstone Ruby Walsh – Edwardstone Tony Mullins – Edwardstone Lydia Hislop – Edwardstone Fat Baz – Blue Lord/Saint Sam Tony Keenan – Saint Sam/Haut En Couleurs Pat Cooney – Edwardstone Gavin Lynch – Edwardstone Gary O’Brien – Haut En Couleurs Ultima Handicap Chase Nine of the past ten runnings of the Ultima have been won by a horse wearing some form of headgear (cheekpieces or blinkers but never a visor) at prices ranging between 15-2 and 28-1. On four occasions they’ve enjoyed a 1-2, and in 2016 a spectacular 1-2-3 (the Trifecta paid £2,025). The year they missed the target, in 2018, the visored Shantou Flyer was beaten a neck at 14-1. A total of 89 horses have worn headgear in the race since 2012. Meanwhile, 128 have worn no headgear with Coo Star Sivola (5-1) their only victor in this period. Schoolboy Hours (Well in on the weights) Pro Picks Jamie Codd – Death Duty Stephen Harris – Death Duty Ed Quigley – Corach Rambler Paul Kealy – Floueur Tom Seagal – Fantastikas Frank Hickey – Full Back Vanessa Ryle – Fantastikas Pat Cooney – Noble Yeats Gavin Lynch – Noble Yeats Unibet Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy The past seven winners – Faugheen (111), Annie Power (11), Buveur D’Air (111), Buveur D’Air (111), Espor D’Allen (111), Epatante (11) and Honeysuckle (11) all lined up having not been beaten that season. Honeysuckle was the only horse in last year’s line-up who has had a blemish-free campaign and has again been flawless this term (111), with Teahupoo (111) also arriving on a roll. Appreciate It hasn’t tasted defeat either but, then again, he hasn’t run. In addition, 27 of the past 31winners of the race won on their most recent start. Honeysuckle (Wasn’t convincing on last run at Leopardstown) Pro Picks Ed Quigley – Adagio without Honeysuckle Danny Mullins – Honeysuckle / Epatante Vincent Finnegan – Honeysuckle Stephen Harris – Honeysuckle Sam (NextGen Racing) – Adagio (EW) Jack (NextGen Racing) – Honeysuckle Mattie Bachelor – Tommys Oscar (EW) Niall Houlihan – Adagio (EW) Paul Kealy – Honeysuckle Tom Seagal – Honeysuckle David Jennings – Honeysuckle Ruby Walsh – Honeysuckle Frank Hickey – Honeysuckle Tony Mullins – Honeysuckle/Adagio (EW) Fat Baz – Appreciate It Tony Keenan – Teahupoo/Appreciate It Pat Cooney – Appreciate It Gavin Lynch – Honeysuckle/Appreciate It/Teauphoo (Gone for the tricast) Gary O’Brien – Appreciate It Close Brothers Mares’ Hurdle Willie Mullins has saddled the winner in nine of the past 13 renewals (admittedly Quevega won six of them) and he’s been responsible for the runner-up on the four occasions he’s missed out. When his win run was interrupted in 2017, he went close with Vroum Vroum Mag (second) and Limini (third). Two years later, his Benie Des Dieux had victory in the bag when falling at the final flight and he also had the second in Stormy Ireland. Benie Des Dieux was beaten half-a-length into second in 2020, when Elfile (third) also represented him. And last year his Concertista looked all over the winner but was beaten a head. He has plenty of options to juggle this year, including Stormy Ireland and Burning Victory. Pro Picks Jamie Codd – Queensbrook Matt Chapman – Indefatigable Kevin Blake – Tellmesomethinggirl Ed Quigley – Tellmesomethinggirl Danny Mullins – Heaven Help Us Vincent Finnegan – Heaven Help Us Sam (NextGen Racing) – Queensbrook (EW) Jack (NextGen Racing) – Queensbrook (EW) Niall Houlihan – Stormy Ireland David Mullins – Stormy Ireland Paul Kealy – Burning Victory Tom Seagal – Burning Victory David Jennings – Burning Victory Ruby Walsh – Stormy Ireland Frank Hickey – Queensbrook Lydia Hislop – Tellmesomethinggirl Fat Baz – Queensbrook/Stormy Ireland Tony Keenan – Queensbrook Pat Cooney – Mrs Milner Gavin Lynch – Tellmesomethinggirl Gary O’Brien – Queensbrook Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle France is also a good angle in the Boodles. Nine of the 17 winners began their careers there, and Saint Sam, who was second last year, went close to increasing that tally 12 months ago. Of the 50 entries still in the mix, the following 13 started out in France: Collingham, Iberique Du Seuil, Icare Allen, Kotmask, Milldam, Petit Tonnerre, Saint Riquier, Skycutter, Swinging London, Tanganyika, Un Des Flos, Sadaly and Gaelic Warrior. Pro Picks Ed Quigley – Gaelic Warrior Danny Mullins – Gaelic Warrior Danny Mullins – Brazil David Jennings – Gaelic Warrior/The Tide Turns Paul Kealy – Gaelic Warrior Tony Keenan – Gaelic Warrior Tom Seagal – Brazil Ruby Walsh – Gaelic Warrior Frank Hickey – Briska Fat Baz – The Tide Turns Pat Cooney – Gaelic Warrior Gavin Lynch – Dr Brown Bear (EW) Gary O’Brien – The Tide Turns National Hunt Challenge Cup Amateur Jockeys’ Novices’ Chase Gordon Elliott has had nine runners in the National Hunt Chase. Four have won and the other five have failed to complete. His winners have been Chicago Grey (5-1), Cause Of Causes (8-1), Tiger Roll (16-1) and Ravenhill (12-1) so you would be showing a healthy profit if you had backed him blind. And last year he prepared Galvin, who won, and Escaria Ten, who was third, but they ran under the name of Denise Foster for well-documented reasons. So you could say he’s had five winners from 11 runners in it. All of Elliott’s winners (not Galvin) had been beaten on their previous start and two of them, Chicago Grey and Ravenill, had suffered a fall earlier in the campaign. The main hope of his Cullantra House Stables this year is the 158-rated Run Wild Fred, who was himself beaten last time out. Pro Picks Jamie Codd – Run Wild Fred Kevin Blake – Run Wild Fred Sam (NextGen Racing) – Vanillier Jack (NextGen Racing) – Run Wild Fred Mattie Bachelor – Vanillier Niall Houlihan – Vanillier Paul Kealy – Pats Fancy Tom Seagal – Vanillier David Jennings – Stattler Ruby Walsh – Vanillier Frank Hickey – Run Wild Fred Lydia Hislop – Run Wild Fred Fat Baz – Run Wild Fred Pat Cooney – Run Wild Fred Gavin Lynch – On The Ropes Gary O’Brien – Run Wild Fred
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Cheers Dave. I enjoy doing it to be honest and I hope a few people can make a few quid out of it, especially the trends.
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If you'd rather have the word documents i'll attach them below. Day 1.docx Extra Notes.docx
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Sorry but after spending 4 hours today so far, I can't be arsed to go back and re-do all the formatting, its fine in word just not on here so go bollocks
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Trends and the horses that their trends. Supreme 10 out of the last 10 winners have had a rating of 150 or above. Dysart Dynamo. 9 out of 10 winners have ran in the last 59 days. Kilcruit, Jonbon, Dysart Dynamo, Bring On The Night, JPR One, Shallwehaveonemore. 9 out of 10 winners have contested a graded race. Constitution Hill, Mighty Potter, Shallwehaveonmore, Jonbon, Kilcruit, JPR One, Dysart Dynamo. 9 out of 10 winners won last time out. Constitution Hill, Mighty Potter, Kilcruit, Jonbon, Silent Revolution, Dysart Dynamo, Bring On The Night. 9 out of 10 winners have been within 8lbs of the top weighted horse in the race. Dysart Dynamo = 152. Constitution Hill, Mighty Potter, Jonbon are all within 8lbs. Kilcruit has no official rating. 7 out of 10 have won at least 50% of their hurdle starts. Constitution Hill, Mighty Potter, Jonbon, Dysart Dynamo, Silent Revolution, Bring On The Night. Arkle 9 out of the last 10 winners have been aged 6 or 7. Brave Seasca, War Lord, Blue Lord, Magic Daze, Gabynako, Couer Sublime, Red Rookie. 9 out of the last 10 winners have had a hurdles rating of at least 149. Edwardstone, Couer Sublime, Saint Sam, Riviere D’Etel, Blue Lord, Gabynako, Haut En Couleurs, Brave Seasca. 9 out of the last 10 winners have finished in the top 2 on all completed chase starts. Edwardstone, Riviere D’etel, War Lord, Blue Lord, Haut En Couleurs, Red Rookie. 9 out of the last 10 winners have been within 9lbs of the top weighted horse in the race. Edwardstone = 159. Blue Lord, Saint Sam, Gabynako, Haut En Coleurs, Coeur Sublime. 9 out of the last 10 winners have had 3 to 5 chase runs. Brave Seasca, Riviere D’etel, War Lord, Blue Lord, Magic Daze, Gabynako, Coeur Sublime, Red Rookie. 8 out of the last 10 winners have had an SP no bigger than 5/1. Based on current prices: Edwardstone, Blue Lord, Riviere D’etel. Ultima 9 out of the last 10 winners have ran no more than 5 times that season. All horses. 9 out of the last 10 winners have won over at least 3 miles. Corach Rambler, Run to Milan, Death Duty, Fantastikas, Does He Know, Full Back, Rapper. 8 out of the last 10 winners have aged 7 to 9. All horses except, Vintage Clouds, Run to Milan, LostinTranslation, Death Duty, Frodon. 8 out of the last 10 winners have run at a previous festival. Frodon, LostinTranslation, Oscar Elite, Floueur, Our Power, Does He Know, Rapper, Vintage Clouds, Grumpy Charley, Tea Clipper, Discordantly, Foxy Jacks, Ben Dundee, Doctor Duffy, Death Duty, Kiltealy Briggs. 8 out of the last 10 winners have top 3 finish on either or both of their last 2 starts. Gericault Rocque, Our Power, Kiltealy Briggs, Fantastikas, Grumpy Charley, Does he Know, Full Back, Run To Milan, Rapper, Floueur. 7 out of the last 10 winners have been officially rated between 139 and 151. Tea Clipper, Kiltealy Briggs, Corach Rambler, Discordantly, Vintage Clouds, Noble Yeats, Fantastikas, Doctor Duffy, Grump Charley, Death Duty, Full Back, Ben Dundee, Foxy Jacks, Rapper, Floueur. 6 out of the last 10 winners have carried no more than 11st 3lb. All horses except Frodon. Champion Hurdle 9 out of the last 10 winners have had no more than 12 hurdle runs. Epatante, Appreciate It, Zanayhir, Saint Roi, Adagio, Teauphoo. 9 out of the last 10 winners have been rated within 8lb of top weighted horse in the race. Honeysuckle = 175. Appreciate It, Not So Sleepy, Zanahiyr, Teauphoo. 8 out of the last 10 winners have won a Grade 1 hurdle. All horses except Appreciate It. 8 out of the last 10 winners have been aged 6, 7 or 8. Honeysuckle, Epatante, Saint Roi, Tommys Oscar, Glory and Fortune, Appreciate It. 8 out of the last 10 winners have won last time out. Tommys Oscar, Teauphoo, Glory and Fortune, Epatante, Honeysuckle. Mares Hurdle 10 out of the last 10 winners have had an rating of at least 153. None. 9 out of the last 10 winners have had at least 8 career starts. All horses. 9 out of the last 10 winners have had a top four finish in a Grade 1 or 2 hurdle. All horses except Martello Sky. 8 out of the last 10 winners have been rated within 9lb of top weighted horse. All horses. 8 out of the last 10 winners have won last time out. Burning Victory, Martello Sky, Stormy Ireland, Maries Rock. Boodles 10 out of the last 10 winners have had a top 3 finish in at least 1 of the last 2 starts. All horses except Britzka, Doctor Brown Bear and The Tide Turns. 9 out of the last 10 winners have won within their last 3 starts. All horses except Prairie Dancer, Doctor Brown Bear, Tanganykia, Milldam, Gaelic Warrior. 7 out of the last 10 winners have been rated between 127 and 134. HMS Seahorse, White Pepper, Britzka, Bell Ex One, Doctor Churchill, Gaelic Warrior. 7 out of the last 10 winners have had 3 to 4 previous hurdle runs. All horses except White Pepper, Feigh, Doctor Brown Bear, Doctor Churchill. National Hunt Chase 9 out of the last 10 winners have had a top two finish in a chase over at least 3 miles. All horses except Vanillier. 8 out of the last 10 winners have had a top three finish on last completed start. All horses except Ontheropes, Beatthebullet. 7 out of the last 10 winners have been aged between 6 and 8. All horses. 7 out of the last 10 winners have won over at least 3 miles (hurdles or chase). All horses.
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SANDOWN 13.50 - Thunder Rock (Each Way) 14.25 - Zambezi Fix (Each Way) 15.00 - Mistral Nell (Each Way) 15.35 - Frenchy Du Large (NB) WOLVERHAMPTON 13.31 - Mighty Gurka (NAP) 14.05 - Revolutionise (Each Way) 14.40 - Fauvette (Each Way)
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He's definitely up there. Have to wait until final declarations though.
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Also now i'm in I can't share my research with @Kinkerbells
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Fuck me yes i'm in.
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LIVE RACING: 13:00–16:00 ITV KELSO 13:30 - Richmond Lake 14:05 - Famous Bridge (NAP) 14:40 - Windsor Avenue (Each Way) 15:15 - Faivoir (Each Way) 15:43 - Gold De Bois (Each Way) DONCASTER 14:20 - So Said I (Each Way) 14:55 - Cheddleton (NB) 15:30 - Legends Gold (Each Way) NEWBURY 13:15 - Christmas in April (Each Way) 13:50 - Paint the Dream (Each Way)
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SATURDAY 26TH FEBRUARY - The Opening Show: 9:30am, ITV4 LIVE RACING: 13:00–16:00 ITV KEMPTON 13:15 - Not A Role Model (Each Way) 13:50 - Impulsive One (NB) 14:25 - Goa Lil (Each Way) 15:00 - Aucunrisque 15:37 - Kittys Light (NAP) LINGFIELD 13:30 - Exalted Angel 14:05 - Forest of Dean (Each Way) NEWCASTLE 15:15 - Court Master (Each Way)